DEEPAKFERT — earnings call
The transcript as filed. Every paragraph is addressable: its link names the page and the position it sits at in the call.
Prepared remarks
DIRECTOR · MR. DEEPAK RASTOGI – PRESIDENT AND CHIEF
MR. DEEPAK RASTOGI – PRESIDENT AND CHIEF
FINANCIAL OFFICER · MR. TARUN SINHA – PRESIDENT, TECHNICAL
MR. TARUN SINHA – PRESIDENT, TECHNICAL
AMMONIUM NITRATE · Management
MR. SUPARAS JAIN – VICE PRESIDENT, CORPORATE FINANCE MS. PALLAVI BHALLA – HEAD, INVESTOR RELATIONS
Moderator · Conference Operator
MR. RANJIT CIRUMALLA – IIFL SECURITIES LIMITED
Ladies and gentlemen, good day and welcome to Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals
Yes, sir.
Questions and answers
Deepak Rastogi
Very good.
Good afternoon.
Ladies and gentlemen, I thank you for joining Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited conference call to discuss the quarter one financial result.
During Q1, we reported total operating revenue of INR 2,281 crores with an operating EBITDA of INR 464 crores, which saw an improvement of almost 66% from INR 281 crores on year-on-year basis.
Our operating EBITDA margins were at 20.4%, which grew by approximately 823 basis points year-on-year basis.
The net profit for the quarter is INR 200 crores, which grew by almost 76% versus last year's quarter one.
Revenue and operating EBITDA, as you would see, has shown consistent increase.
Coming to the performance of our businesses.
Mining Chemicals business performed very well, both in terms of revenue as well as volumes.
Sales volume surged by almost 23% Y-o-Y due to the improved demand and revenue grew by almost 19% on account of improved realization and obviously, the demand as such.
The capacity utilization of our TAN business was closer to 104% for the quarter.
From an outlook perspective, as Mr. Mehta said, post demerger and the TAN business would get into a separate legal entity now.
And it will establish itself as a fully integrated technology solution provider for all our customers.
As you are aware that the export ban was lifted last financial year.
We have already started exports from March '24 onwards, and we will talk about how much exports we did during this quarter as well.
The quarter also witnessed positive trends across key market indicators compared to the high base of Q1 of '24, which is last year.
Based on the data published by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, coal and steel production actually increased at 11% Y-o-Y.
And we expect the demand to remain strong, which is again driven by the coal, power and infrastructure segment going forward.
Coming to the Industrial Chemicals business, the nitric acid was lower by 12% on account of extended repair job at our Taloja plant.
Further, various trials at customers, especially for the steel grade nitric acid have been under obviously, they are being conducted right now.
And we expect expansion of volumes from speciality grade going forward from here.
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024 IPA volumes are down Y-o-Y based on the planned shutdown.
Our specialty chemicals, which is pharma grade IPA continued to grow and receive positive customer response in this regard.
The capacity utilization of our nitric acid plant was closer to 90% for the quarter.
And for the IPA plant, it was closer to almost 78%.
The price of nitric acid continues to be stable.
The imports have become steady, and they have come down.
And we expect the pricing improvement gradually over a period of few quarters.
The propylene based IPA would continue to perform better as it has performed last year, as the demand and, obviously the price perspective, things remain stable or better.
For our Crop Nutrition business during the quarter despite delayed monsoon, in the last quarter, which is Q4 of last year had been not so great.
The water tables have come down.
Despite the delayed monsoon this year as well because two months there was hardly any rain and higher inventory of phosphoric fertilizers, the sales of bulk fertilizers grew 11% on Y-o-Y basis.
Sales of specialty fertilizers saw an increase of almost 51% and specialty traded fertilizers grew by almost 80% Y-o-Y.
Bulk fertilizer manufacturing capacity utilization was closer to 67% during the quarter.
We have also launched Croptek grade of soybean as well as Smartek grade for paddy and pulses.
As the rains are predicted above normal this year, we are expecting a good Kharif season as well as growth volume in the coming quarters.
The partnership with Haifa will help us to promote the high-performance specialty fertilizers, which we have been talking about.
Performance Chemicals Limited, which houses our ammonia plant.
Ammonia plant as you know that we basically started this plant last year in Q2. The capacity utilization in Q1 at around 98%.
Out of the total production, around 86% was for captive consumption and around 14% for the merchant sales.
As we have been telling all our investor communities that the backward integration is helping us and will help us to reduce volatility to enable us to retain the margins within the group.
So this year, at least this quarter we saw the ammonia prices coming down for which some of the benefit actually got to the other businesses within the group which are our downstream industry.
The same we have done it in the past, we have seen it, and we have seen it again.
The outlook is that FOB-ME ammonia pricing is expected to improve and started already improving.
With the available capacity across all the plants, we are well positioned to navigate through challenges and capitalize on the group of opportunities.
With this, I would like to open the floor for questions and answers.
Over to you, moderator.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you very much.
We will now begin the question-and-answer session.
The first question is from the line of Jainam Ghelani from Svan Investments.
Jainam Ghelani
Good evening, sir, and thank you for the opportunity and congrats on great set of numbers if you look on the year-on-year basis.
But sir, I just want to understand on the TAN business, now since we are already operating at the rated capacity about 104%.
So can you help us understand the demand supply dynamics in the TAN business and what will be general operating performance in terms of the EBITDA that we will be making only from the TAN?
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Deepak Rastogi
So, are you suggesting how we would you be improving our growth for TAN business?
Is that your question?
Jainam Ghelani
Yes.
Deepak Rastogi
We currently have a capacity of around 540,000 tons right now, we are actually expanding additionally 50,000 tons, which will come upstream by the end of September.
So obviously, the capacity would go up.
We are looking for getting our new plant ready in Gopalpur with a capacity close to 376,000 tons.
You can say around 400,000 tons, which would come upstream sometimes to next year.
We actually are looking for a huge growth going forward.
I would also say that we generally are close to almost 50% to 60% of the marketplace, and we will continue to do that.
Jainam Ghelani
From our operating performance, how much will be contributed from TAN?
Like see INR464 crores of the EBITDA that we reported in the current quarter, what would be the contribution from the TAN in it?
Deepak Rastogi
I will have to see the numbers effectively.
But purely from a TAN perspective, I would say close to almost 50%, 55% would predominantly come from, but I will just confirm those numbers to you.
Jainam Ghelani
Even if you take 50%, when we try to assume that the EBITDA per ton under TAN remains between INR18,000 to INR20,000 per ton, right?
Deepak Rastogi
That is up to you, but you're very close for sure.
Jainam Ghelani
Sir, secondly, in the nitric and in the IPA, we have seen the lower volume because of the repair and the maintenance shutdown.
So is the facility back in operation or probably see lower volumes from both these facilities in Q2 as well?
Deepak Rastogi
So your question is for IPA you mean to say?
Jainam Ghelani
IPA and nitric in Taloja also we have taken a repair due to which there was a shutdown and there was a lower volume?
Deepak Rastogi
So IPA, I can tell you that the reason why we have good, obviously, runway on IPA is that, there are two things.
First of all, obviously, we continue to supply the pharmacopeia certified grade of IPA, that's number one, which goes into the pharma category.
And we have continuously been seeking CDSCO approvals to make sure that IPA's use continues to be number one.
The second thing is, on the other side, the IPA is manufactured as through the phenol route, which is like from acetone.
And given that the prices of phenol have been quite low and hence the pricing.
It doesn't make sense for them to really sell at a pricing which is not conducive.
And the reason is that all this phenol chemicals actually go into predominantly into automotive as well as construction industry, and most of the consumption happens in China.
Given the local industry has not been doing well and hence those pricing continues to be stretched right now.
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024 On a long-term basis or rather short to midterm basis, this trend will continue.
So, we are expecting that demand would continue for the next at least a couple of quarters or maybe a couple of years as well.
Jainam Ghelani
So our capacity is that in IPA will continue to remain the range of 80%, 85%, it won't go beyond above that, right?
Deepak Rastogi
I think last quarter, we did more than 100%.
We will basically reach 100% given that we had a plant shutdown and hence, we have this situation.
But we will be able to clock almost 98% and 100% only going forward.
Jainam Ghelani
Sir, in terms of nitric acid, extended repair job that continues in the Taloja, is the facility up and running in month of July or the repair work is till going on?
Deepak Rastogi
So that is a short time aberration.
It got repaired within the quarter only, but it had an impact.
Jainam Ghelani
Because this quarter at least we'll see capacity ramping up from nitric as well.
Deepak Rastogi
Yes, you're right.
Jainam Ghelani
Contribution in the overall revenue from the ammonia.
And as the current realization, what would be the EBITDA per ton that we will be making on the ammonia plant?
Deepak Rastogi
So from an EBITDA perspective, given that the ammonia prices have been quite subdued beginning of this quarter.
Obviously, I will have to get the numbers exactly how much per ton will be.
But predominantly, it was quite less at least for this quarter because overall ammonia prices have been depressed quite far.
But from an external sales perspective, whatever we sell to third party, those have been quite encouraging because it sells over on premium of the ammonia pricing, which generally it is we generally have a benchmark as FOB-ME pricing.
And it was trading as the external sales are from a premium perspective.
So we gained something out of it.
Jainam Ghelani
And just help us understand what will be our cost of production in ammonia definitely pricing will depend.
But at what level we will be breakeven at the ammonia?
Deepak Rastogi
So we have been answering this question.
We will basically provide you offline those details.
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from the line of Parth Kotak from Plus91 Asset Management.
Parth Kotak
Firstly, I would like to congratulate you and your team for a decent set of numbers.
Sir, my first question is on the expansion project and capacity utilization.
So just want to take an update with the ongoing expansion at Gopalpur for TAN and Dahej for nitric acid.
Can you provide an update on the expected timelines for these projects?
Are we online on what we committed before?
And additionally, what are the anticipated capacity utilization from the new facilities upon completion?
Can they be ramped up once they are commissioned straight away?
Or how would the capacity ramp-up happen?
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Deepak Rastogi
So thank you so much for your compliments first of all.
To answer you, we are looking to start the production sometime in H2 of financial year '26.
That is number one.
Regarding your question on the capacity utilization, it takes because these are very big plants, it takes few months to ramp up fully, but we expect to start ramping up between 70% to 80% initially, which will eventually ramp up to around 90% to 100%.
Like even if you were to see our ammonia plant we basically started with maybe 70% or 80%, and now we are running at 98%, and it would actually further improve from where we are right now.
Parth Kotak
Sir.
That is helpful.
Secondly, I would like to understand the impact of ammonia price volatility.
As you have rightly mentioned, probably the additional EBIT that we make from ammonia would be negligent.
And like we have been guiding if ammonia continues to trade at about $400 or $450, which is the long-term average of ammonia.
And again, from more of an accounting perspective, the way we are reporting our numbers, would it be fair to assume when we would be showing an EBIT margin of about 40% on our Chemicals business and about 15% plus on our fertilizer business, especially when we are not showing an EBIT for ammonia separately?
Deepak Rastogi
No. So currently, if I were to see, you are talking about the margins?
Or you're talking about the volumes?
Parth Kotak
Margins, sir.
Margins.
Deepak Rastogi
So we will have to do that math overall.
But we don't do the math how much including ammonia and excluding ammonia because business as a business.
But I can only tell you that like last year also, we saw when we started the plant the ammonia prices were close to around $250 FOB-ME.
This quarter, the average was close to around $290 FOB-ME but it actually ramped quickly to almost 330 - 340 in the last quarter.
And we expect that to happen anytime soon in this as well.
So overall, I don't think so that a quarter is a mirror or replica of how the year is going to pan out.
So I just wanted to put that to rest.
Parth Kotak
Perfect, sir.
No, probably just for my better understanding, we've posted an EBITDA of about INR 465 crores which would translate, again we are not talking about numbers per se, just from an understanding of how the business would pan out after ammonia prices normalize.
So INR465 crores, so INR1,800 crores to INR2,000 crores of EBITDA for the year.
And on top of that, there is a potential to probably due a INR1,000 crores of EBITDA savings coming from ammonia price normalization.
Is that the right way to look at it?
Deepak Rastogi
I think you are double adding some of the things some of the benefits which the businesses have got, they may not be able to derive similar benefits when the ammonia prices goes up, right?
So there will be definitely some portion of EBITDA would get enhanced or expanded, but not 100% of that.
It will be a jackpot if we do it.
But I don't think so that is.
Anyway, that is not we are expecting at all.
Parth Kotak
Perfect, sir, that is absolutely helpful.
Now I understand clearly.
Just to squeeze in a last question to gain clarity, sir.
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Moderator · Conference Operator
May we request you to return to the question queue for follow up questions as there are several participants waiting for their turn.
Parth Kotak
Okay, sure.
I'll join back the question queue.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you very much.
The next question is from the line of Deepak Mandhana from Avighna Investments.
Deepak Mandhana
I have two sets of questions.
One is pertaining to the TAN business.
So we are doing capex for the Gopalpur plant, but I believe 6 months back, can you just give me what is the export percentage of our TAN business and the domestic?
Deepak Rastogi
So there was zero exports 6 months back because the ban only got lifted sometimes in October.
By the time the ordinance actually came, it took some time for us to receive and things like that.
So actual exports started only last quarter, which is the last quarter of the last financial year, which is '23-2024.
Now from this quarter the business will start looking at aggressively all the exports to be done.
Deepak Mandhana
The reason why I'm asking this is because Coal and BHEL have signed a JV for setting up 2,000 ton per day ammonia nitrate plant.
So obviously, they will also be by the time ready be somewhere around the time we commission Gopalpur plant.
So would that not lead us with an excess supply in the market?
And wouldn't it impact on our revenue and also on our profits?
Deepak Rastogi
So we are not expecting the plant which you are referring would be ready by then for sure.
Obviously, they have a plan, but they have not suggested when they will start how much would be the case.
So both things are there.
As part of the declaration, we are aware of it, but there are no time lines that when they will do it.
Now coming to your question whether we will have an excess capacity going forward.
So I can tell you that currently, almost 25% to 30% of the demand actually is fed by imports today as we speak, every year-on-year basis.
And we have to see how much is the new capacity is coming in.
But on the contrary, given the emphasis on mining as well as infrastructure activities, these sectors are going to grow at a CAGR of, if not more 10%, at least 8%.
So that would, again, maybe 5, 6 years, it will improve dramatically.
We are not expecting on long-term basis any capacities which are basically going to be idle, but there could be a few quarters when the business is not doing well maybe there could be some surplus capacity.
But what would happen is that we would expect lower imports compared to what we see today.
If at all the plants are cost competitive because one of the things which you should also understand is that unless until the plants are cost competitive, it doesn't make sense for anybody to actually even produce because if they can get similar materials from outside at a more cost-effective prices.
And we don't know how the costing would pan out to be for them.
Deepak Mandhana
Okay.
And the second question was on Mahadhan.
So, you had filed earlier circular with the exchange stating that the demand for the commissioner appeals has been discussed by them.
Can you provide an update on that?
Is there any new set of things that has happened post that?
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Deepak Rastogi
So we basically feel that we have a very strong case and whatever demands which the commissioner of income tax has actually saying, we continue to obviously fight that at various levels.
And we will go to the highest level because we think we have a very strong case to defend us.
Deepak Mandhana
So is currently the case at the ITAT level or has that reached to high court?
Deepak Rastogi
That is correct.
It is at the ITAT level right now.
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from the line of Vivek Choraria an Individual Investor.
Vivek Choraria
You've given all the details in quite a general manner.
I just wanted to get a broad two to three- year outlook.
I'm not asking for a guidance.
I mean Q1 FY '25, we've done an EBITDA of close to INR 464 crores.
So we're at an annual run rate of close to INR1,700 crores, INR1,800 crores.
Is it possible for the group as a whole to aspire for, say, INR3,000 crores EBITDA number, I mean, in the next 3 years?
I'm not asking for any near-term guidance sir or anything.
Just wanted to understand what the vision is for the next 2 to 3 years?
Deepak Rastogi
So you are asking me to forecast.
So unfortunately, I cannot really answer you exactly.
But obviously, the year looks good.
That's all I can tell you.
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from the line of Adarsh Jain an Individual Investor.
Adarsh Jain
So my question is related to demerger.
So basically, we have got the demerger approval and we wanted to know the people who are already holding shares of Deepak Fertilisers will they get the shares of the new entity, which is Deepak Mining Solution and by when it can be completed?
Deepak Rastogi
So the demerger happened, which is the subsidiary of Deepak fertilisers, and it is called Mahadhan Agritech Limited, which is an unlisted company.
It used to house the CNB business, which is our fertilizer business and also the technical ammonium, which is the Mining Chemicals for us business.
Now the Mining Chemicals business is getting carved out into a new legal entity and its name is Deepak Mining Solutions Limited.
So that is the impact.
And hence, there is no impact on the existing shareholders of Deepak Fertilisers.
Adarsh Jain
Okay.
So what you said is I mean, the Chairman in his opening remarks, he said that any investor who wants to invest in particularly in one business can come and invest in the business he wants to invest, right?
So basically, what I want to understand is, i.e., bought shares of Deepak Fertilisers because of TAN business, because of this ammonia plant.
Now if somebody else comes and he gets the shares and -- I mean will I be getting the value I'm looking to my shares?
Deepak Rastogi
So the answer is, yes, because we would continue to look for technology partners as well as strategic investors to grow those businesses.
Whether it is the fertilizer business or whether it is the Technical Ammonium Nitrate business.
So whatever growth which we see automatically it will show up in the holding company.
So that is how it will benefit all the shareholders indirectly, but not the way that any shares would get allocated to them.
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Adarsh Jain
So the person who will come new will be able to get the shares.
And the existing shareholders will get the benefit only of being a holding company, not the individual company?
Deepak Rastogi
No. But I don't think so that we may give a shareholding.
It depends upon what kind of investor we would get it.
If it is a technology one, obviously, because it is the risk and rewards which carry for any investor from that perspective.
And hence, those are the discussions would happen if at all somebody comes in and we need it.
I don't think so that we are able to comment anything at this point in time.
Adarsh Jain
Okay.
But I mean, as a shareholder, I can make you a request that you should keep in mind people who have been investing in your company for the past few years because of the TAN business or the ammonia business.
They should also get something out of it.
I mean being a holding company, I mean, if I had known this before that not getting any shares after demerger, I mean, you should do something for them who are existing shareholders, and they should also get the shares of the when you plan to, I mean, divest the stake or maybe if you give the shares to any investor based on technology value investment or whatever investment you are seeking of the any company.
Deepak Rastogi
We hear you, and we will see what can be done.
But I don't think so that we can discuss this right now on that aspect because no decision has been taken so far.
Adarsh Jain
I can make you a request that please keep this point in mind.
Deepak Rastogi
Sure.
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from line of Sanjana from FWC.
Sanjana
I have a question on our ammonia plant, the new ammonia plant, what is the capacity utilization right now for the ammonia production?
Deepak Rastogi
It is closer to 98%.
Sanjana
98%.
Can we expect it to remain at this level like is this the optimum level?
Or what is the maximum synergy?
Deepak Rastogi
We can actually go more than 100
Sanjana
Okay.
And sir, how much is our ammonia requirements for all our plants together?
How much do we require today?
Deepak Rastogi
So we have a capacity of closely around 500,000 tons.
Almost, as I said, 86% is actually captive consumption -- 85%, 86% will be mostly captive consumption, balance will be for outside.
So we would still have some capacity left for us to use it for captive.
Sanjana
Okay.
So we still are using almost 85% growth into captive and we have around 15% that we can sell outside?
Is that so?
Deepak Rastogi
Yes, that is correct.
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Sanjana
And after the expansions are done -- after the channel expansion and nitric acid expansion, how much will our ammonia requirement we win, will we be fully sufficient then?
Or we'll still require something from outside?
Deepak Rastogi
No. So in that case, we will have to really buy from outside given that the locational disadvantage even though we may have some capacity left with us, but the logistics costs would not support that.
Hence, we would prefer possibly import and we will have to see the cost benefit.
But the way it stands today is that we may have to buy locally at Gopalpur.
Sanjana
Okay.
Sir, one last question on the mining subsidiaries.
So we had a plan for scaling up the service part of the mining subsidiary where we were helping out companies and providing end- to-end services to reduce, say, costs on mining of anything.
So is there any scale-up happening on that front?
Deepak Rastogi
So as we speak, there are a number of projects which are currently undertaken by the business.
And we would continue to scale up.
And you would also realize is that these are the services which do not exist today.
We are actually creating the market for it.
So we've been telling our investors is that we will be definitely, we are very aggressive in expanding it, but it will take some time before we get there.
And this will become a material till the time it becomes a material part of the business.
So we are still a few quarters or a few years away from where we should be right now.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Next question is from the line of Pramod Dangi from Unifi Investment Management.
Pramod Dangi
Thanks and congratulations for the good set of numbers.
Mr. Mehta, I just want to check on the TAN.
Last year, we have seen a lot of import of the Russian TAN, low-grade TAN.
Can you throw some light, what's happening over there today?
Is there any antidumping duty being be imposed or that certain import has been reduced?
How do we see that going forward?
Deepak Rastogi
So last year, we got a lot of it is not TAN actually, it is FGAN which actually got imported.
And as I said, that almost 25% of, domestic requirements, getsimported.
Last year, what has happened is that all the imports came from Russia only.
That is number one.
Second thing is that generally, we are seeing around 325,000 to 375,000 tons per annum.
Last year, what happened is that almost 400,000 tons actually came in a span of two quarters or maybe 2.5 quarters.
And hence, it created an short-term aberration.
Currently, obviously, the imports continue, but obviously, it is slightly more restricted.
We are not seeing that kind of imports or that kind of volumes coming together.
And obviously, all the companies have represented for the antidumping, but obviously, the government has to take its own call.
But so far, there are no antidumping duties.
But in the new budget, as you would have read is that the duty has actually been increased for importing ammonium nitrate.
So 2.5% of the duty has gone up, part of it would create some kind of a deterrent for the importer, but we'll have to see.
I'm sure that the government is taking more steps to be able to at least give some competitive advantage to the domestic manufacturers as well.
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Pramod Dangi
Okay.
And secondly, on that since our capacity is coming on stream next financial year, additional capacity on the TAN.
How the overall industry scenario looks like any other guys are doing any expansion?
Any other largest player in India.
So how the competitive scenario looks like after 1 - 1.5 years down the line?
Deepak Rastogi
So we know that RCF and sorry, Chambal is actually coming up with some kind of new capacity.
As I have been telling that they have actually announced that it is an ammonium nitrate capacity which they're bringing in.
But they are also manufacturing fertilizers.
So we'll have to really see where their facilities will get utilized.
Assuming it is for ammonium nitrate only the current capacity, as I have said that domestic demand if fed through imports and still would come in and there would obviously, room for imports.
So we don't see much of a mismatch, but few quarters here and there, it could be mismatch.
If the demand goes down, obviously, there could be some volumes here and there.
But long-term basis, we are not looking for any kind of a supply gap for mismatches.
Pramod Dangi
Okay.
And lastly, if I may...
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from the line of Bhavesh Shah an Individual Investor.
Bhavesh Shah
I wanted to ask that what was there any S-GST benefit in the ammonia project recorded in this quarter?
Deepak Rastogi
Yes.
We have actually.
So you mean to say the incentives?
Bhavesh Shah
Correct.
Deepak Rastogi
Incentives for the ammonia plant.
So last year, as you know, that we have actually got in Q4 around INR89 crores.
For this quarter, we have done closer to almost INR35 crores.
We have booked it which is prorated for the year.
We expect similar if the volume obviously, if the prices goes up, it may be even higher in the future quarters.
Bhavesh Shah
So the accounting will be consistent, right, for this quarter-over-quarter?
Deepak Rastogi
Yes, yes, yes.
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from the line of Jainam Ghelani from Svan Investments.
Jainam Ghelani
I just had two questions.
The first one is there any planning for debt reduction this year?
And how would you be dividing our debt post the demerger within the 3 companies?
Deepak Rastogi
So, we always continue to reduce debt.
But there are ongoing projects, which would require new debt for funding those projects.
So whether it is Gopalpur or whether it is Dahej.
So overall even though we may be repaying the existing debt, but overall, the debt portion may go up because the new debts are coming in for the new projects.
And it should peak out sometime next year..
And hence, we would start seeing some reductions there on.
Jainam Ghelani
So what would be the peak debt level?
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Deepak Rastogi
So it depends how we see it.
But more or less, it should be between INR5,000 -- INR5,500 crores to INR6,000 crores is what we think right now, but it can be lower than that as well.
Given that if everything comes together, but that's the way we are looking at it.
But net, this is a ground which I'm talking about the net debt will be definitely be lower than that.
Jainam Ghelani
Sir, by when do we expect the demerger process to be completed?
And how would we bifurcate the debt within those 3 entities?
Deepak Rastogi
So we basically have certain plants which are already there in queue.
So let's say, the Gopalpur that will go to the TAN business.
The Dahej project that would go automatically to DFPCL.
That's how the things are.
And the existing debt which is there, based on the projects which it has funded.
So it is very, very clear.
So that we would start obviously once we will start releasing our financials now business-wise, it would actually show up how much debt each business or each entity would carry.
Jainam Ghelani
Is it fair to assume that at the end of last financial year, we had a debt of INR4,150 crores which was the gross debt and this was largely used for funding of our ammonia plants.
So this plus the Gopalpur project once gets completed, is it fair to assume that the majority of the 70% to 80% of the total debt will be on the TAN, I mean, the Chemical business and the remaining will be on the Industrial Chemicals?
Deepak Rastogi
So there are existing there for you know past projects because these are long-term debt.
And the door-to-door tenure is 10 to 12 years.
So some of the debt would also come from the previous projects.
And hence, it is not even though it may be lower, but you rightly say, majority of the debt would be from the ammonium plant, the Gopalpur plant and obviously then the nitric acid, which is the Dahej plant.
Jainam Ghelani
How much capex you are going to do this year and next year because both of the facilities is going to come on stream in second half of FY ‘26?
Deepak Rastogi
I cannot hear you properly.
Please repeat it.
Jainam Ghelani
Sir, capex spend for FY ‘25 and ‘26.
Deepak Rastogi
‘25 and ‘26, meaning for the projects you mean to say?
Jainam Ghelani
Yes, Total capex for the project.
Deepak Rastogi
So we have said that the Gopalpur project, we are going to incur close to INR2,200 crores.
As far as Dahej is concerned, we have said we will do around INR2,000 crores.
Jainam Ghelani
And sir, how much we’ll be spending in this year and next year?
Deepak Rastogi
So we are going to spend close to around INR700 crores for our Gopalpur project because we have also incurred last year.
So overall, we are talking about close to INR750 crores for each of the plants between – so close to maybe INR1,500 crores both put together that’s the kind of money which we will spend this year.
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024
Jainam Ghelani
INR1,500 crores will be equally divided between Gopalpur and the Dahej?
Deepak Rastogi
More or less, yes.
Jainam Ghelani
And next year also, it will be more or less the same amount?
Deepak Rastogi
We’ll have to see how much is actually retained, but could be similar here.
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from the line of Subash from Value Investments.
Subash
Sir, could you please explain in simple words about your demerger of TAN business?
Because the earlier question which was asked by some of the investors I got confused because you said the demerger has happened and the wholly owned subsidiary that is this after split it is a new company name is Mahadhan, right?
And what is the other business that you mentioned?
And if this is a wholly owned subsidiary of Deepak Fertilizers, if at all, this Mahadhan gets listed right in the future, why wouldn’t the existing shareholders get shares in Mahadhan.
I mean, could you explain in simple terms about the demerger, please?
Deepak Rastogi
So first of all, you should go to our corporate presentation or the earnings presentation.
We have actually added a slide on the demerger exactly to the question which you are asking.
It talks about what is the existing structure and what will be the new structure, demerged one.
So once you should look at it, otherwise it may be difficult for me to explain and you would may further get confused.
It’s better to look at that.
And then if you still have follow-up questions, we will be able to answer you off-line.
As far as your listing of the entities are concerned, we have 2 unlisted entities, which is one is for Mahadhan Agritech, which is an unlisted entity.
The other is Deepak Mining Solutions Limited, that is other unlisted entity.
There are plans in future, but no decision has been taken so far on the listing part.
So whenever that comes in, we will talk at that point in time.
And we will also talk about what could be the deal for the existing shareholders.
It is difficult for us to comment right now because there are no plans.
Subash
I completely understand that you cannot explain the complete structure.
I’m looking at your presentation.
So to be more specific, If at all, right, I’m not asking about any deal or the ratio or anything.
If at all, this Mahadhan gets lifted in the public space, would Deepak Fertilisers shareholders get the shares of Mahadhan?
Deepak Rastogi
So that will be whatever the scheme would be we will basically come out at that point in time.
That’s what I said.
I cannot basically comment today because there is no decision which we have taken so far.
Subash
But you mentioned that Deepak Fertilisers shareholders are not eligible to get Mahadhan shares?
Deepak Rastogi
We never said that DFPCL shareholder will get shares.
We possibly said that in order to these companies to grow, which is Mahadhan as well as Deepak Mining If they needed technology support, they needed funding and all they can do their own technology and funding tie-ups..
Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024 That's the only comment which we have made.
Obviously, there are expectations from shareholders, which we cannot answer right now because no decisions have been taken so far.
Subash
Okay.
I understand that these companies are still under Deepak and they're wholly owned subsidiaries.
That's the end right?
Deepak Rastogi
Yes.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Next question is from the line of Pramod Dangi from Unifi Investment Management.
Pramod Dangi
No, my question was answered.
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from the line of Adarsh, an Individual Investor.
Adarsh Jain
My question is already answered.
I've already asked them the question.
Moderator · Conference Operator
The next question is from the line of Niraj an Individual Investor.
Niraj
I just wanted to know what are the plans?
And what is the current situation on Mining Solution business?
And what are the prospects?
Who are the current competitors?
How is that business shaping up?
Tarun Sinha
This is Tarun Sinha here.
I will take your question.
Thanks for your question.
So as Mr. Deepak Rastogi was mentioning earlier, this newly created entity by the name Deepak Mining Solutions Limited, essentially has a very unique value chain for its consumer, which starts from its own ammonia and then goes on to its ammonium nitrate.
And then we use all of that together with blasting technology and different kinds of operational machines to provide mining solutions in the form of productivity improvement in the mines and infrastructure projects of the country.
So that's the uniqueness of this model.
It's a self-contained blasting solutions business.
And I would rather call it a Mining Solutions business.
Who is doing it in India today?
That was the other part of your question.
The answer is no one has this kind of a value chain from ammonia to mining solutions as an integrated chain under one umbrella.
So that's the uniqueness.
And there was a question in the call in case you heard that, how long will it take to scale it up?
We just started this whole thing about 1.5 years ago, this whole solutions model.
And now we've created a new corporate entity to give it the impetus that it needs and slowly, slowly we'll be looking forward to scaling it up by building all those required capabilities.
Niraj
So, where do we see this Mining Solutions business 2, 3 years down the line?
What kind of a growth percentage tentatively if you can share the -- we can expect in this business?
Tarun Sinha
So this is a similar question in one of the previous, I would say, quarterly calls, I'm not sure whether you were there.
The answer here is the sky is the limit, to be honest, because the canvas is entire Indian mining industry and the infrastructure industry.
There are two main factors which will determine how fast or how slow this can be done in terms of scaling up.
One is because it's a new type of business model, our consumers are actually watching us, how do we bring this model in the market.
We are working on a number of pilot projects as we speak.
So that is one Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
August 01, 2024 factor which will determine what it will look like in the next 2, 3 years, which is from an acceptability point of view.
Second is the speed at which we will be building our own internal capability to convert the market.
Niraj
Okay.
So at the international level, is this kind of a business operational or its -- globally it's a unique one?
Tarun Sinha
So there are very few handful of global companies who actually have this kind of a model operating, not in India, in different parts of the world, but no one does it in India today.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question for today's call.
I now hand the conference over to the management for closing comments.
Deepak Rastogi
Thank you all for attending quarter one financial year '25 conference call of Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited.
Thank you again, and good evening to all of you.
Moderator · Conference Operator
On behalf of IIFL Securities Limited, that concludes this conference.
Thank you for joining us, and you may now disconnect your lines.