NUVOCO — earnings call
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Prepared remarks
LIMITED · MR. MANEESH AGRAWAL – CHIEF FINANCIAL
MR. MANEESH AGRAWAL – CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER, NUVOCO VISTAS CORPORATION COMPANY
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Aman Agarwal from Equirus.
Please go ahead.
Aman Agarwal
Congratulations on the good EBTDA/t number.
Sir, my first question was pertaining to the RMC business, RMC plus modern building material business, so just wanted to understand on your strategy for that business, now this question is coming because if we see on EBIT level, the contribution from that segment has not been anything meaningful in the last say, 12-13 quarters, so wanted to understand on the margins that we operate in this business on the EBITDA side and strategy going ahead?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
First of all, we will be in Ready-Mix business.
So, we have strong plans for growing all the three verticals of cement, Ready-Mix, Concrete and Modern Building Materials.
That is the first point I would like to inform you.
Secondly, Ready-Mix business is all India business as you would know that the business came to our fold way back in 2010 with the L&T business, which got acquired into the organization.
Around COVID time, we had a serious challenge because the entire metro based construction had come to a halt and then we also did a major decision of closing down, winding up, turning down all the operations for a period of three to four quarters, but from then on from 2019 till 2023, this business has made a huge turnaround.
We are one of the most profitable Ready-Mix businesses in the country.
So, like in cement, we call contribution, in Ready-Mix, we have contribution margin is what we call.
That number in quarter 3 delivered the highest in the history of the Company at Rs.
975 per cubic meter.
This is one of the highest In the entire industry.
Having said that, how did all these things happen?
Certainly in our entire portfolio, Nuvoco is the premium product in cements, it is also premium in Ready- Mix.
So, we are very clear on that.
Credit used to be a big challenge in the business.
So, we sorted out the entire credit thing.
We have about 35% of the business on cash and carry business.
We sell in IHB, we exited many project verticals in this because project is a low margin business.
So, we kind of rushing the entire portfolio from 60 to 63 plants to 52 plants during the COVID time and now that we have proven successful model of selling in commercial as well as IHB through cash and carry and fixed credit business model.
We are slowly scaling up the business, like Madhumita said, we have 56 plants now, happy to say only yesterday we inaugurated the 57th plant and by the end of next fiscal, which is FY25, we have plans to take the business to 80 plants and then in the next two years it will go to 100 plants sustaining at about Rs.
975 per cubic meter contribution margins.
This will give a sizable absolute EBITDA to the Company even though the EBITDA percentage margin will be much lower than the cement.
That is the nature of the business.
So, we have to run this business profitably and expand this business.
Aman Agarwal
Very happy to listen about like expansion plans that we have for this business.
Next, I wanted a clarification or understanding on our cost efficiency program that we have running internally, where do we stand right now?
We talked about some 250 per ton kind of a saving and more than half of the saving was already delivered, just wanted to understand how are those parameters shaping up and on the cost item wise, which line item do you think has the highest potential to deliver cost savings from here on?
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Madhumita Basu
Aman, thank you for that question.
We really need to take it up in two parts.
When you are referring to the INR 250 per ton piece, it is project SPRINT.
We have successfully closed this project and I have handled it a couple of calls back.
So, if you are comfortable, I will walk you through project SPRINT separately.
You are welcome to get in touch with me or the IR team.
The program which we have now flagged off and which I have mentioned in the previous quarter call is project BRIDGE.
On the project BRIDGE, we are looking at all areas of efficiency optimization.
So, just to give you some examples, optimizing the power and fuel cost by working on lead indicators like SHC and SPC, elimination of transit losses, controlling damages and demurrages in transit, improving wearhouse utilization.
So, it is certain shortlist of programs which is being driven with periodic reviews from the MD's office.
We were looking at an order of Rs.
50 per ton savings out of the BRIDGE program rolling in over a 12-month period.
We are happy to mention that about Rs.
20 per ton of saving is what we are already seeing since the start of this project about 4 months back.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Shravan Shah from Dolat Capital.
Please go ahead.
Shravan Shah
Just to continue, so does that mean that we can see Rs.
30 per ton more saving is still possible?
Madhumita Basu
Thank you, Shravan for that question.
Definitely, it is a program and we are chasing that number.
As I said, we see it rolling in over a running 12-month period.
Shravan Shah
Two-three things, first on the volume front, so 9 months, we have a half a percent decline, so looking at the number, correct me if I am wrong, I see still we will be seeing 7% to 10% kind of a volume degrowth in the fourth quarter also, so will you please help us how one can look at in terms of whatever they are till now we have seen in January in terms of the how do one can see the volume for this fourth quarter?
Madhumita Basu
Shravan, just as a continuity on speech and the discussions we had so far, we did see degrowth in two quarters on the run, particularly in some of our key states and in overall arrivals into the Eastern region.
However, we would like to reiterate two things.
Firstly, North, we have been riding more than the growth.
We were to some extent restricted, but now with the commissioning of the Haryana cement plant, we would definitely like to push ourselves more to capitalize on all growth opportunities in the North market.
In the East, we are still very optimistic on the potential in the pipeline.
We have an election year that has come up.
There are budgets lying on various government projects and basically the challenge has been in terms of fiscal deficiency in the markets because these projects were not moving at the expected pace.
We would continue to remain optimistic as we enter Q4. Definitely, every attempt to maximize volume in both regions, it is important to state here that with 25 million tons, we have well spread-out headroom in all geographies to optimize on the market gains.
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Shravan Shah
Just to understand, in terms of the prices, so current prices, broadly the January, our dealer channel check suggests that it is lower than the average for the third quarter, if you can quantify in terms of East and North, what is the broader Rs.
5, Rs.
8 decline versus the third quarter average?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
I will give all India blended price.
I would not be giving a regional pricing that would not be right.
As we ended December end, we are on the 30th of January.
I have hardly seen some Rs.
20-Rs.
30 per ton of change in pricing on the lower side.
That is not very big at all.
So, that monthly changes will always happen to the tune of Rs.
3-Rs.
4 per bag, so I am not greatly worried, but not a big drop has happened from what we were in December and Q3 average and January now.
I don't see any indication at this point of time for any big change in the pricing.
So, my view is going forward in February and March, this kind of price should hold, maybe a sensitivity of Rs.
2-Rs.
3 per bag overall, Rs.
3 in January, another Rs.
2 in February.
So, overall, we are looking at about Rs.
5 per bag kind of sensitivity.
Having said that, there are very clear initiatives we are embarking in the Company.
One is to increase premium.
In fact, East is trending at a premium of close to about 49-50% and at a blended level we are operating at a premium for over 36% as a Company.
So, that will be one big lever.
Second is again the geo mix lever of trying to sell more in states where the pricing and realization is much better.
That is the second lever.
Third is the pricing acceleration program in the Company where we tweak prices at an appropriate time.
Even in the last 4-5 months, we have gone and taken a price increase in Concreto, we have taken price increase in Double Bull in Bengal, we have taken price increase in Duraguard in North India.
So, overall, we have made a small price increase independent of the prevailing market prices.
So, our aim is in the coming quarter we will find a way to adjust the price in such a way that we don't have the major impact due to any external factors.
Shravan Shah
So, simply propagate so the Rs.
1,000 plus kind of EBITDA per ton considering the Rs.
30 cost, further saving would be there over next 9-12 months and the pricing remains stable, so we can see Rs.
1,000 plus kind of EBITDA per ton, so that is the most important.
Just last on the expansion and the CAPEX, so how much we have done and what is the new number for this year and next year, definitely it depends on our Chittorgarh expansion, but when we like to go ahead with the Rs.
3,500 to Rs.
4,000 crore net debt, so when we see that net debt and when we will announce that expansion?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Consistency is the hallmark of our investor’s call that something is very clear.
So, I am going to say something which I have been telling in the past itself, which is the CAPEX plan.
You wanted to know about the CAPEX plan for this year.
So, our CAPEX plan broadly had Nimbol’s expansion, Sonadih Railway Sidings, Odisha Railway Siding and Bhiwani expansion, these are the four big CAPEX.
Shravan Shah
I wanted the number?
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Yes, I will give you.
I will give you.
This year we had 9 months, we are at Rs.
457 crores of CAPEX and in January, February, March, we will end up spending another 150, give or take Rs.
10 crores here and there.
So, we are looking at Rs.
610.
If you remember 2 calls back, I said our CAPEX outlay for this year is around Rs.
650 crores.
So, we will be ending about Rs.
610-Rs.
615 crores will be this year's CAPEX.
So, balance Rs.
20-Rs.
30 crores will be unfinished of the current CAPEX, which will happen in next year.
Next year, we have two bits.
One is the routine CAPEX.
Here we are looking at close to about Rs.
500 odd crores as current outlay of CAPEX for next year.
As regards, the Greenfield or the brownfield expansion either in Chittor or any other place, we will inform you at the time when we make a decision to start construction, but baseline condition for looking at expansion will be to pare our debts to ~Rs.
3,500 to Rs.
4,000 crores.
So, right now, we are at Rs.
4,533 crores.
We expect in Q4 end and somewhere in April we will come to that kind of ballpark number and that is when we will make the serious decision of when we will start the expansion for the Company.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
We have the next question from the line of Satyadeep Jain from Ambit Capital.
Please go ahead.
Satyadeep Jain
The last few quarters, we have been seeing some market share losses, but good to see decent price gains this quarter.
So, on that strategy, I want to come back, we have seen some management changes on the marketing sales front in the last few months, the entire, what changes have we seen in the last few months in the new team for marketing and sales?
I believe all these things would have been tried historically also, premiumization and all geo mix, what is different that you are doing now versus what was there and are there any different strategies between North when you look at different levers for increasing prices, that is the first question?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
I will talk about on design and Madhumita will talk about the market strategy.
I don't think we have made any organization change at all.
So, we had one more which happened many months ago and that necessitated internal realignment.
In terms of leading the marketing function, Madhumita continues to lead ahead marketing, which she was doing prior to that change, just that she has an additional responsibility to run North sales along with her other portfolios.
So, there is consistency in the approach.
So, there is not any change, not an iota of change in the way you look at the market a year ago and year now, we have been consistent.
As regards to our approach to North and East, I will request Madhumita to explain to you, what are the broad themes and how we are going about enacting those themes in the market.
Madhumita Basu
So, Satyadeep, thanks for the question.
Basically, as you know, the North and the East markets for us are different in its construct as well as the presence and footprint of our brands.
So, when East, our focus continues to remain on maximizing business in geo-optimizing states of Bihar, Bengal and Jharkhand, we work in all these three markets with a very strong Concreto franchisee now.
We have Concreto and Concreto Uno.
We have a good brand portfolio of Duraguard with premium products, Duraguard F2F and Duraguard microfiber.
So, to our us with a 50%-52% Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024 premiumization share in the eastern part of the country, our principal strategy is geo-optimizing and driving the premiumization.
At that strategy level, what is different in the North, North firstly, we have seen the benefit of increasing volumes progressively in this year.
Firstly, there was the debottlenecking in Nimbol, this make available to us more cement from the Nimbol plant itself.
Further, recently we have now seen the addition of the Haryana Cement capacity of 1.2 million tons.
In North, we have been able to stretch our premiumization levels in an industry and the market where premiumization barely hovers around 8 to 9%, we are at a 14% premiumization in North.
So, premiumization there is a good journey and way forward plan.
Primarily in North, we have driven the levers of good market presence, sustained branding and communication programs and driving volumes both in non-trade and in trade.
So, volume driven strategy is what remains basic and fundamental.
We have length, speed and have had the capability to optimize on these opportunities given the additional volumes which has come in North.
I hope that answers your question.
Satyadeep Jain
Yes, just a clarification in that, when you say Geo-mix basically walking away, is that correct to say that you are walking away from markets like Chhattisgarh and Orissa where you have maybe lower pricing, higher comparative intensity?
Is that correct in focusing on maybe Bihar, Jharkhand and Bengal, where you have Concreto and maybe higher pricing?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Satyadeep, I think you are a veteran, so price cannot be the only criteria.
Obviously, contribution is very important over some beautiful positive reason, Chhattisgarh and Orissa, are high contribution markets in East right now.
So, we run a program called Vijay Chhattisgarh in Chhattisgarh to take our numbers in Chhattisgarh to at least 40% more than last year's actual in the coming year.
So, we got a robust plan to get volume growth in Chhattisgarh within the stuff and Orissa is currently trending at probably, I won't say historical high contribution margin, but the numbers are very attractive actually.
In fact, Orissa contribution margins are higher than neighboring states.
So, our thrust in Orissa will improve in the coming year.
So, within the framework of Bengal, Bihar, Jharkhand, they were the key markets for us in the past, but along with these three markets, Chhattisgarh and Orissa becomes equally attractive market for us to drive volumes and thereby get more contribution.
Satyadeep Jain
What is there on Geo-mix, so it is Geo-mix is not tied to any states as such, you are looking at states of a certain pockets, did you get better contribution margin?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Because in Chhattisgarh, we have got 3 factories.
At one time, used to a little bit of a challenge.
The entire industry had some challenge in Chhattisgarh, but I think that is kind of off and now with elections happening in Chhattisgarh, we see a good demand picking up in the state and we have Risda, Sonadih and Arasmeta, high throughput factories.
So, we would try and maximize the road-fed market in Chhattisgarh.
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Madhumita Basu
Satyadeep, I would just like to add a point here.
It is very definitely a strategic advantage that we have with the acquisition of the Emami facility.
We have a footprint today across 5 states and definitely we would want to be more agile in adapting our tactical plans at the market level.
Satyadeep Jain
Just one clarification question lastly on the routine CAPEX, you mentioned Rs.
500 crore is that and if it is sustaining CAPEX number without growth CAPEX, that seems slightly high for a 25 million capacity, would that be right?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
No, I can't give a breakup of what will constitute Rs.
500 crores, so it will have land, it will have some growth CAPEX, it will have some sustaining CAPEX, some overflow from this year to next year.
Let us start the year and I guess I will come back and maybe during the next call I will give a clear picture of what we intend doing in the coming year.
So, it won't be more than that kind of number which I mentioned.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Jashandeep Singh from Nomura.
Please go ahead.
Jashandeep Singh
Congratulations on achieving great set of EBITDA numbers.
My first question is regarding raw materials, especially slag cost, although I understand Nuvoco has a long-term agreement with plant at Tata Steel, just wanted to understand the management can give us directionally especially quantifiably how much delta is there?
How much Y-o-Y slag cost has increased for Nuvoco versus for the industry?
Even a ballpark figure helps us understand the delta?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
I can talk about Nuvoco, I can't talk about the price other companies have bought, but if we look at our blended slag cost along with our long-term strategy with Tata Steel and spot buying, we ended up spending close to about Rs.
1,333 per ton of cement.
That was the slag cost for us.
That was cost of slag, not per ton of cement, slag consumption rate is Rs.
1,333 per ton and market rates and spot rates are trending at Rs.
2,000 per ton outside, but we have made a very conscious call because the demand has also been a little bit tepid in quarter 3.
So, we also walked away from high-cost slag and since we have back-end tie up, so that is why we are focusing on our own long-term slag.
Q3 was Rs.
1,333, at the 9 month average it is at Rs.
1,430.
Jashandeep Singh
Sir, what will be the slag cost one year back?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
3Q last year was Rs.
1,319, 3Q this year was Rs.
1,333, about Rs.
10-Rs.
12 more.
Jashandeep Singh
Sir, just talking about our volume mix, we see that C/K ratio has marginally declined this quarter, is that mean that the share of North volume was higher this quarter and what I mean is North and central combined and what with Haryana, you coming in, what can be a sustainable volume mix for ex-East region if you can just clarify that?
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Madhumita Basu
So, Jashandeep, very correctly summarized, yes, the North volumes have had some bit of an impact, but we also have to face the fact that we are just prior to a election period.
So, there has been a very good uptake in infrastructure projects and wherever opportunities have looked attractive we have gone for the business.
Haryana Cement plant will be 1.2 million tons of focusing on blended cement.
So, the slight uptick that we have seen in OPC volumes this year would moderate as trade volumes pick up and depending on how the post-election projects and the mix of business settles.
Directionally, we have touched the high of 1.82.
We are now trending about 1.72-1.73, so definitely as capacity utilizations improve, we will be driving back to that C/K of 1.8.
Jashandeep Singh
And just two more questions.
One quickly, the WHR, have we fully extracted all the potential savings from them post acquiring Emami plants, is that completely done or is there any incremental saving opportunity there available to?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
WHR, in fact, it was not an Emami phenomenon.
It was Nuvoco phenomena.
So, even before we acquired Emami Cement business all our kilns had WHR which we started installing from 2018 onwards.
So, every single kiln along with the Risda kiln, all the six kilns in the Company have WHR.
The installed capacity is close to 45 megawatts of WHR.
We are also debottlenecking to improve the WHR capacity by another about 3-4 MW in the coming year, but having said that, all the WHRs are working in full capacity.
Just that since the volume is a little bit low, we had to shut the kilns for some periods of time for de-Clinkerization.
Full potential of WHR didn’t happen.
But next year i.e. Q4 and beyond once all the kilns run to market demand, we will get the maximum benefit of WHRs and CPPs.
Jashandeep Singh
And what was the CAPEX for this quarter if I missed earlier?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Of 9 months was 457 crores.
We will end up spending another Rs.
150-Rs.
160 crores in the Jan, Feb, March 2024.
We end up close to 600 crores give or take Rs.
10 crores.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Rajesh Prasad Ravi from HDFC Securities.
Please go ahead.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
Fuel cost per kcal, fuel mix and share of blended cement share in the cement mix?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Fuel cost, I will say fuel cost in Q3 for the Company was Rs.
1.67 per Mn Kcal, comparison with Q2 was Rs.
1.74 and same quarter last year Rs.
2.74.
So, we are at Rs.
1.67 per Mn Kcal in Q3.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
Fuel mix?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Fuel mix, linkage at 28%, non-linkage 1%, overall linkage and non-linkage i.e domestic coal at 29%, pet coke at 56% and imported coal small 1%, AFR at 14.2%.
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
Linkage you said is around how much, 25%?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Linkage is 28% and 1% non-linkage.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
And 14% AFR, so this is helping you in terms of your cost stabilization, which few quarters were impacted earlier?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Yes, this is one of the best quarters for us, even last quarter, quarter before also we were making improvements, but I guess 1.67 we will be right at the top.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
Are you expecting further savings from the fuel side, sir, during the current field first terms?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
That would be very difficult.
So, what are the levers we have?
I think the linkage coal rates are more or less kind of bottomed out at Rs.
1.30 Mn Cal.
I don’t think it will go below this.
In terms of pet coke, there is some scope, as you see currently we are booking pet coke at $118 per ton, which translates to about Rs.
1.80-Rs.
1.81 per Mn Cal.
Last quarter, we are at Rs.
1.9 per Mn Cal.
AFR also we can improve from current 14.2% to may be 18%.
So, net-net, I see a play of about Rs.
50 going forward.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
Sir, lastly, this volume loss, which you have seen in Q3, while you have mentioned there is a market demand, you have been muted, you have seen a 10% decline, so is this also a phenomena of aggressive volumes from capacity additions which has happened in the market and that is why this is an actual market share loss and this may continue for next few quarters?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
I will safely say one thing.
No capacity expansion of the industry resulted in reduction in demand.
So, I guess that is not certainly the case and if demands were there, we won't have been sitting tight, not selling.
So, I guess it is simple that the overall offtake has been low in each markets in the last three months, so I guess once the demand opens, you will see us growing in line with market.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
This quarter, your volume loss is higher than what the industry declined or it is in line with the big industry?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Region wise, it is very difficult to say.
All I can say is from the arrival, so I guess we track arrival.
So, in terms of arrivals, I think at a broad-based number everybody's number has dropped.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
And lastly on this cement to clinker ratio which has tapered down to 1.72, given that we will be ramping the volumes in Haryana where this C/K ratio would obviously lower than this ratio, so is it fair to assume that 1.72 or this ratio will remain close around this level for next 1-2 years?
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Madhumita Basu
Rajesh, I just took that question from Jashandeep.
I clarified that the Haryana cement plant is a fully blended cement plant.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
So, it will not be producing slag cement right, which has a high C/K ratio?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
This quarter number reduced our C/K ratio little bit lower, but East will open up, we will sell more slag cement, our C/K ratio for East will go to 2.1.
North, there will be some changes because of the overall ramp up of our production in North because even though we don't sell too much of OPC, still PPC whose C/K ratio will be lower than the slag cement, but net-net if you see our number will go back to +1.8 plus one or two quarters from now.
Rajesh Prasad Ravi
And lastly, what was the blended cement production?
Share of blended cement?
Madhumita Basu
Rajesh, we will give you that data point later.
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
I will have to fish out from the records.
We will just give you a little later, but our guys will give you.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Tejas Pradhan from Citi Group.
Please go ahead.
Tejas Pradhan
Sir, most of my questions were answered, just to wanted a data point on the lead distance this quarter?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Last quarter, the lead distance was 340, in Q3 it became 342, 2 kilometers increased.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Amit Murarka from Axis Capital.
Please go ahead.
Amit Murarka
So, about the market growth, so like you used to share the market growth numbers for North and East earlier, so any commentary around that?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
I don't think in our calls we have given region wise market growth, but at least in this quarter, I can stick my neck out and say that East obviously market shrunk, North market grew.
Our growth technique, we are small player in North, but with the small player status also, we have grown ahead of market, so technically we have moved our market share in North in the second decimal for sure.
East is where market shrunk and right now I won't be able to comment what has been the extent of shrinkage in East.
Amit Murarka
But it seems it is more than 10%, right?
And if you grow it not, then this decline is more than 10%?
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Yes, obviously, mathematics will certainly deduce to where you are going, but that is how the market has been.
Amit Murarka
And also just to understand like when you say that you are choosing to do profitable volumes and all that, so are you then focusing on EBITDA maximization at the cost of maybe market share loss or how do we understand that?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
There is no one correct answer on it, so one of the biggest agenda for the organization, which we have been consistently mentioning is, we have made a commitment post listing in the first earnings call and then on.
One of the key endeavors for our Company is to pare down the debt, so that we are fit to get into the next growth plan for the Company.
So, certain mission one has to make and now making those decision mean that we don't walk away from market where we can sell, but if the entire market is in such a place where the growth doesn't happen, then our priority is to get value over volume.
That is the plan we have been doing in the last couple of quarters, but certainly one of the principal agenda for the Company is to bring the debt levels to a sizeable number anywhere between Rs.
3,500 to 4,000 crores and then we are fit to grow, but in the journey we had number of agenda which we have been running, which my colleagues spoke about the SPRINT agenda in the first year of listing and then once we kind of accomplished the SPRINT agenda, of course the SPRINT agenda got kind of diluted by the fuel price increase.
So, net-net we couldn't get everything out of the SPRINT agenda, but now that the fuel price is under control we have embarked on the second agenda of BRIDGE where we are looking at Rs.
30 to Rs.
50 improvement in EBITDA along the various lines of P&L.
So, our focus will be to improve our EBITDA margins, sell sensibly so that for the sake of selling, we don't spoil our bottomline.
In doing all the things and objective is to pare the debt to about Rs.
3,500-Rs.
4,000 crores levels and then get the growth engine going for the Company in the medium term.
Amit Murarka
Also like actually I was just looking at a bit longer term numbers actually for you, I mean both in volume and EBITDA, like I am just trying to see how numbers have been like when you since you acquired Emami and to me it seems like actually both your volume and EBITDA is actually down in the last 3 years actually like, if I look at the Q3 FY21 numbers, it is actually 10% lower on EBITDA as well and in this meantime, I mean in these 3 years.
I believe we have unlocked some synergies as well from the acquisition.
So, I am just trying to understand where has this decline come from in terms of given the synergy has also been unlocked?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
I will throw some numbers to you, one or two numbers.
So, I think detailed explanation will be very difficult to tell on the investors call.
We can engage with you if you can reach out we can have a detailed conversation, but top of the line since you asked the question I need to give a right answer to you.
Around the acquisition times of Emami, we are very clear that we acquired Emami for capacity.
So, that brand was not in the same league as Concreto and Duraguard hence the per ton realization of Emami was always lower than it.
Our main aim at that time was to Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024 acquire capacity, which we accomplished at that time.
We got 8 million tons of cement and multiple grinding units in various states.
That was objective of acquisition.
Nuvoco became a 23.8 million ton, becoming the fifth largest player and one of the leading players in East India.
That was a key objective when we acquired economy.
Around the time, our EBITDA levels had, once we combined both the companies, our EBITDA levels did touch Rs.
1,200 per ton in Q1 FY22 and then on the entire fuel crisis happened and when we delivered EBITDA of excess of Rs.
1,230 precise was the EBITDA per ton.
Our power and fuel cost was the best in the industry at that time at Rs.
885 per ton.
We were the best in the industry at that time, very close to only one other player, but then the power and fuel cost of the Company went from Rs.
885 per ton all the way to Rs.
1,500 to 1600 per ton.
It happened to the industry.
It happened for us also when this escalation in fuel cost and power cost happened, that kind of washed away all the SPRINT savings, but as mentioned by my colleague in the introductory speech in the last 10 quarters, if you look at Nuvoco’s EBITDA per ton number, quarter-on-quarter, we have improved EBITDA per ton and we have more or less reinstated our EBITDA in quarter 3 at Rs.
1,048 per ton, which is only a little bit lower than what it was at the time of listing.
So, we have made concerted efforts to improve cost efficiency, get these SPRINT levers and the BRIDGE levers going and taken various initiatives within the Company and take the Company from where we were 10 quarters ago to all the way now to Rs.
1,048 per ton and give or take, we can be around this number for going forward as well.
Amit Murarka
Sir thanks for the explanation, but like my question was more around like the performance like before, the SPRINT synergy benefits were unlocked, so the numbers is not being visible in the final EBITDA?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
It is very difficult at the call to explain, may I request you to reach out to us.
We will have, our team will explain with you all the facts and we will clarify all your queries, please.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Prateek Kumar from Jefferies.
Please go ahead.
Prateek Kumar
I was just saying that there was this mention of pricing realization drop of 30 to 40 per ton.
Was this against December exit or December quarter average comparative?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Lot of things happened in September, lot of things change in November and December.
So, one way to look at the start and end date of 1st October to 31st December i.e. 90 days of pricing fluctuations continuously.
But to the number which I mentioned was as we stand on 30th of January, I am looking at close to about Rs.
40 per ton reduction in prices from where we were in December.
Prateek Kumar
So, what was the average it will be much more lower, so versus exit it is Rs.
40 lower?
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
No, it is stable for the last 30 days.
It may continue to be around this number going forward is what is my read.
Prateek Kumar
And sir, secondly on the Rs.
1.67 of fuel cost on a kcal basis, obviously the combination of various fuel mix which you have, but given pet coke is 56% and current imported pet coke price is around $110 and $112, is it reflecting that number, spot number or the more saving which can come in Q1 FY25?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
These numbers are all based on top procurement at not at $118, but at $135.
Currently, we are booking at $115-$118, so the impact of the reduced cost of pet coke will be felt end of Q4 and Q1. You would know we have North and the East plant.
East operates with only 35% pet coke and North has got almost everything is pet coke.
So, the East will have big bearing in the overall power and fuel cost of the company, because that is where the cement is made and the cost of fuel is also a little bit lower there.
As I said just a while ago with the levers of reduced pet coke and increased AFR and maximizing our linkage coal, I see a potential of some more reduction in the overall power and fuel cost, but 1.67 can be maybe 1.6 to 1.63 beyond that at current levels it will not go down.
Prateek Kumar
My last question, on your CAPEX, have we quantified like the amount of CAPEX which you are looking at in North for an account of expansion, is it like total of Rs.
2,000 crores?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Not yet, I guess I will get back to you in the subsequent calls.
Right now, we are still working in the background on the technical design, whether it will be 6000 TPD line, 7000 TPD line, 8000 TPD line, whether it will be split GU, VRM or ball mills.
This work is currently happening where it will have railway siding, all those combinations are being worked out, but I guess we will get back to you in one of the next subsequent calls.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
The next question is from the line of Navin Sahadeo from ICICI Securities.
Please go ahead.
Navin Sahadeo
Sir, very quickly, directionally, it appears that we may have lost market share in the East, of course we have done good in North as you mentioned in the comments, so just wanted to understand that will we as a Company look to regain that market share in the coming quarters or since the focus is also on promoting premiumization, Concreto Uno in various markets, we will be like focusing on value over volume in East.
Also, this is slightly medium term in the sense that since there is no major capacity that we are planning in East, at least in the foreseeable future, that is what I think was indicated that other regions can see CAPEX, if at all Company has to pursue.
So, from that perspective, we are consciously focusing on value over volume, is that a correct understanding?
Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited January 30, 2024
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
Terminology is correct, but the context is actually qualified.
When the market is down, we have to find a way to maximize money for the Company, and hence we prioritize value versus volume.
We still have 25 million tons of installed capacity and there is sufficient headroom for us to grow in the East.
East we have 19 million tons and North we have 6 million tons.
We are nowhere close to 19 million ton capacity in East as we stand today.
So, we have got good headroom available for us to grow.
Once the market opens up, you will see us participating in the race as energetic as anybody else.
Navin Sahadeo
So, we will regain the lost market share there in the coming quarters, correct?
Jayakumar Krishnaswamy
We will certainly participate in the market with full vigor when the market opens up.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, we will take that as the last question.
I would now like to hand the conference over to Ms. Madhumita Basu for her closing comments.
Over to you, ma'am.
Madhumita Basu
Thank you everybody for your participation.
Very good questions and some good overrun on the time as a result of these questions.
To summarize, we remain positive on the demand outlook.
As significant portion of infrastructure programs are under execution by the government, we shall continue to focus on operational efficiencies and remain committed to our growth projects.
We will remain available for any further clarifications that you might require.
Please do connect with us.
Thanking you for joining us today once again.
Moderator · Conference Operator
Thank you.
On behalf of Nuvoco Vistas Corporation Limited, that concludes this conference.
Thank you all for joining us.
You may now disconnect your lines.